Projected Seats: 52D - 48R

2026 Texas Senate Election Odds, Polls & Ratings

Texas U.S. Senate seat. Republican-held seat. Democrats 60% to Republicans 41%. Rated Toss Up. Even in latest polls (James Talarico vs John Cornyn). Live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi, updated every minute.

Texas Senate

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Data from Polymarket, Kalshi, Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, Race to the WH, and 270toWin. Contact

Market Data

Polling Data